Monday, 2 September 2019

30. The immigration crisis; a possible solution?


I can no longer stand all the misery ; I have to make an attempt, for what it is worth ...

Guiding principles:
-          It is Europe’s move! ("the ostrich that sticks its head in the sand has a much bigger problem than its limited visibility, its bottom is a huge target" thanks to Ricardo Semler)
-           A solution is not in one of the extremes: allowing everyone to move in, sending everyone back. The polarity between these two opposing reflexes is based on emotion (empathy and fear), and is a bad basis for a solution. A compromise in between will not help either.
-           Open door gives free rein to human trafficking, abuse of people's despair for one’s own gain, and leads to even more misfortune for the robbed and unfortunate migrants and to cultural and economic chaos for the recipient countries. The arguments for an open door are understandable on empathic and ethical grounds, but not feasible without paying a high, unprecedented price. It is gambling based on sentiment.
-           Sending people back into their misery is ethically unacceptable, and in the long term provides explosive states of political and religious polarity. That is political incompetence that is based on defensive fears and self-protection.
-           The long-term solution: stimulating the development of the source countries into economically and politically stable societies, is noble but will take too long to wait for results and in the short term and would bring us into conflict with the international autonomy which we are forced to respect, enforced by punishment for out of control conflicts .
-           Solutions will not be found in adding up interests and opinions, even if you make an average of them, or create a negotiated compromise. It is like making watered down coffee.
-           The solution lies in constructive and creative thinking; the third point (in addition to the two extremes). Politicians!, do not use your reflex brain to think about this, but the pre-frontal capacity of your brain!! That's a minimum for leadership!

A solution: four parts
PART 1: create livable enclaves in the countries of origin in agreement with local authorities
-           Negotiate with local regimes to transform some existing large cities on their coast into a place where the necessary safety and economic perspective exist.
-           Offer a "Marshall" help program in exchange, and ensure proper use of the delivered resources
-           Put those enclaves under local government, support them with logistical means, and give UNO a security assignment
-           This way, a solid alternative is created for refugees who can build a future in their own culture, possibly find temporary or definite accommodation.
PART 2: organize a formal selective intake procedure and possibility in those enclaves
-           With EU funds, official immigration agencies can be set up on site to provide sound information about possible destinations as well as the legal conditions for being allowed to travel to Europe, temporarily or otherwise. Staff these offices with European officials.
-           Since the two main reasons for fleeing to Europe have been met (security and economic viability) and a solution in their own cultural environment is possible, only a fraction of the refugees will want to go to the EU. (especially when they are well informed about possibilities and consequences).
-           Therefore, inform clearly about the consequences, including cultural differences, and what that means in daily practice. Make a contract for those who want to continue and be accepted.
PART 3: develop a clear European integration policy for the entrants
-           Develop European criteria to allow people to immigrate, and organize their immigration up to their destination and full integration
-           Also put quotas first according to the possibilities and willingness of the receiving countries
PART 4: Allow EU member states to contribute proportionally to the aspects of their choice (financial, logistics or effective inflow of people)
-           Within the EU, countries can choose whether to contribute financially, logistically, or by hosting immigrants (according to the criteria).
-           Basic funding must come from the EU's general resources, but an additional budget must be created according to needs. Countries contribute proportionally to the full program.
-           Countries that do not voluntarily contribute their share are automatically 'taxed' in their current financial balance with the EU.
-           
Finally; how to work on a supported decision within Europe?

-           Someone must come up with a proposal, based on a few guiding principles (see above), practically feasible, based on good arguments that have already been expressed and flexible in realization (adjust after evaluation)
-           European values ​​must be visibly present and must be a criterion for excluding extreme positions and arguments in the debate. This must be explicitly stated, even though some leaders are annoyed by this and disadvantaged in their national political agenda.
-           In a debate about long-term collective responsibility, advocating self-interest is a behavior that should lead to explicit exclusion from the process (with consequences).
-           Hurry; set up a clear funnel to get from the first design to the best possible solution, and adjust. Create a permanent structure (commissioner) to coordinate agreements and follow-up.
Hugo Der Kinderen
June 2018


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